Session - Solar Energetic Particle Events: from forecast to radiation impact

Mike Marsh, Mark Dierckxsens, Thomas Berger

This session aims to foster an environment where the communities conducting the science/forecasting of solar energetic particle events and those concerned with the physical impacts of the subsequent radiation events on human activities, technology and other physical effects may confer and exchange knowledge. There is currently much effort in developing forecasting and alert systems of solar energetic particle radiation events with the intent that these tools will be useful for civil aviation, human space flight, and satellite operations. However, these tools and research are often being developed without the direct involvement of the people concerned with the physical impact of these radiation events. It is not always clearly understood by the space weather community what parameters from space weather research/forecasts are desired by the end user concerned with radiation impacts, and what procedural impact solar events have on human spaceflight and operations. This session invites contributions with a view to connecting the "beginning and end" aspects of space weather research/tools and the real world impact. We solicit contributions on solar energetic particle research/forecasts which have practical space weather applications/effects with a focus on what information can be provided to the end user. Contributions are also warmly welcomed from the other point of view, concerning the real world impacts of solar radiation events on space flight, satellites, aviation, solar system effects, and how a forecasting system could satisfy end user needs.

Talks and Highlighted Posters
Wednesday November 19, 09:00-11:00, 11:30-13:00, Mosane

Poster Viewing
Wednesday November 19, 10:30-11:30, area in front of Mosane.

Talks and Highlighted Posters: time schedule

9:00 Forecasting and Nowcasting Reductive Statistical Schemes for Solar Energetic Particle Events Sandberg, I et al.
9:15 SEPsFLAREs: Forecasting and Warning Prototype System of SEP Events and Solar Flares Supporting Space Launcher Operators García-Rigo, A et al.
9:30 Solar Particle Events And Human Spaceflight Berger, T et al.
9:45 Comparison of Codes Assessing Radiation Exposure of Aircraft Crew During Energetic Solar Particle Events Beck, P et al.
10:00 COMESEP and the SEP Forecast Tool Dierckxsens, M et al. Highlighted poster 1
10:05 Multiplatform Observations of the Earth's Particle Radiation Environment during the 17 May 2012 SEP Event Laurenza, M et al. Highlighted poster 2
10:10 Computation of Ionization Effect in the Earth Atmosphere During Major Ground Level Enhancements of Solar Cycle 2 Mishev, A et al. Highlighted poster 3
10:15 Impact of an Extreme Space Weather Event on European Space Assets Armiens, C Highlighted poster 18-e
10:20 Solar Energetic Proton Nowcast for Low Earth Orbits Huston, S et al. Highlighted poster 4
10:25 Development of Solar Heavy Ion Models in the Frame of the ESA ESHIEM Project: Definition of Ion Abundances Varotsou, A et al. Highlighted poster 5
10:30Poster Viewing, coffee served at 11:00
11:30 Modeling Radiation Impacts with Coupled CME-SEP Simulations Linker, J et al.
11:45 SEP Modeling and Forecasts Based on the ENLIL Global Heliospheric Model Mays, L et al.
12:00 Economic Impact and Effectiveness of Radiation Exposure Mitigation Measures during a Ground Level Enhancement Matthiä, Daniel et al.
12:15 AVIDOS 2.0 - Current Developments for the Assessment of Radiation Exposure at Aircraft Altitudes Caused by Solar Cosmic Radiation Exposure Latocha, M et al.
12:30 Two High-Energy (>300 MeV) Proton Fluence Models Based on Ground-Based and Spacecraft Data Vainio, R et al.
12:45 Theoretical Model of SEP Radiation Hazard Forecasting on the Basis of One-Minute Neutron Monitor and Satellite Data in Real Time Dorman, L
13:00End of Session

Posters

1 COMESEP and the SEP Forecast Tool Dierckxsens, M et al.
2 Multiplatform Observations of the Earth's Particle Radiation Environment during the 17 May 2012 SEP Event Laurenza, M et al.
3 Computation of Ionization Effect in the Earth Atmosphere During Major Ground Level Enhancements of Solar Cycle 2 Mishev, A et al.
4 Solar Energetic Proton Nowcast for Low Earth Orbits Huston, S et al.
5 Development of Solar Heavy Ion Models in the Frame of the ESA ESHIEM Project: Definition of Ion Abundances Varotsou, A et al.
6 FORSPEF: An Operational Service for the Prediction of Solar Energetic Particle Events and Flares Anastasiadis, A; Sandberg, I; Papaioannou, A; Georgoulis, M; Tsiropoula, G; Tziotziou, K; Katsiyannis , A C; Jiggens, P; Hilgers, A
7 Iron-Rich Solar Particle Events Measured by SOHO/ERNE Raukunen, O; Valtonen, E; Vainio, R
8 Solar Energetic Particles and Active Regions on the Sun Bronarska, K
9 STEREO Observations of the Longitudinal Distribution of Solar Energetic Particles Gómez-Herrero, R; Heber, B; Dresing, N; Klassen, A; Lario, D; Agueda, N; Malandraki, O; Blanco, J J; Rodríguez-Pacheco, J
10 Prediction of GLE's: Delimitation of Time Intervals for the Possibility of Occurrence During Solar Cycles 24-25 Perez-Peraza, J; Juarez-Zuñiga, A; Alvarez-Madrigal , M
11 Forbush Effects and Precursors: Forecasting Strong Shock Waves using one Hour CR Data Dorman, L; Applbaum, D S; Ben Israel, I; Dai, U; Kazantsev, V; Kozliner, L; Pustil'nik, L; Sternlieb, A; Zukerman, I
12 Multiplicity in Neutron Monitor: Single Particle vs Shower Balabin, Y
13 Line of Special Neutron Monitors: Barentsburg, Apatity, Baksan Balabin, Y; Vashenyuk, E; Dzhappuev, D; Gvozdevsky, B; Germanenko, A
14 Spectral Shape of the Energy Spectrum for SEP Events Laurenza, M; Consolini, G; Storini, M; Damiani, A
15 Drift Induced Deceleration in SEP Propagation Dalla, S; Marsh, M; Laitinen, T
16 Event-oriented MHD Simulations of Global Coronal Shocks: Investigating the Evolution of Shock Obliquity and Density Compression Pomoell, J; Poedts, S
17 GLE60 & GLE71 Modeling and SEP Properties using Different Magnetospheric Models and Ground-Based Data Mavromichalaki, H; Kanellakopoulos, A; Plainaki, C; Laurenza, M; Gerontidou, M; Storini, M; Andriopoulou, M
18-e Impact of an Extreme Space Weather Event on European Space Assets Armiens, C
19-e Monte Carlo Simulations of SEP Acceleration in Coronal Shocks Afanasiev, A; Vainio, R
20-e Modelling Large SEP Events with the Shock-and-Particle Model Approach Aran, A; Pomoell, J; Rodríguez-Gasén, R
21-e SPARX: a Propagation based Modelling System for Solar Energetic Particle Radiation Space Weather Forecasting Marsh, M; Dalla, S; Laitinen, T; Dierckxsens, M; Crosby, N
22-e Simulation of Particle-Shock Interaction with Nontrivial Shock Profiles Ganse, U; Vainio, R
remark: the note e means this is an e-poster.

Abstracts

Practicalities poster boards/screens, availability and upload - please read this