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Published by the STCE - this issue : 23 Nov 2012. The Solar-Terrestrial Centre of Excellence (STCE) is a collaborative network of the Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy, the Royal Observatory of Belgium and the Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium. |
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For the last 6 months, both PROBA2/Lyra (in UV and X-ray; http://proba2.oma.be/ ) and GOES15/XRS (in X-ray; http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/today.html ) have been monitoring almost periodic ups and downs in the daily minimum solar irradiance. Indeed, with quite regular intervals of about 27 days (i.e. about one solar rotation), the Sun alternates between an active hemisphere with relatively many sunspots , and a hemispheric "face" that is pretty much void of these dark blemishes. For as long as it lasts, this is quite a helpful tool for the medium term space weather forecasting.
Solar activity has been eruptive to active, featuring 5 M flares and 33 C flares throughout the week. NOAA AR 11613 was by far the most active region, producing all five M flares and numerous C flares.
A shock was observed in the ACE solar wind data at 22:16 UT on November 12, probably due to the arrival of the CMEs from November 9 and 10. Solar wind speeds jumped from 315 to 372 km/s, while the IMF suddenly increased from 7 to 18 nT. Bz was often well below -10 nT between 22h UT and 01h UT, leading to Kp = 4 during the first three UT hours of November 13. IMF strength has been around 20 nT from 8h UT on November 13 to 9h on November 14, with solar wind speeds around 400 km/s. The Bz component turned negative around 23h UT on November 13, and has had values between -10 and -20 nT until 9h on November 14, leading to a minor geomagnetic storm during the first nine UT hours of November 14 (K Dourbes = 4-6, NOAA Kp = 5-6).
Quiet geomagnetic conditions with a few isolated active intervals prevailed during the rest of the week.
DAY | BEGIN | MAX | END | LOC | XRAY | OP | 10CM | TYPE | Cat | NOAA | NOTE |
12 | 2313 | 2328 | 2333 | M2.0 | 0 | VI/2 III/1 II/2 | 21 | 1613 | |||
13 | 0158 | 0204 | 0206 | M6.0 | 0 | VII/2 III/2 | 21 | 1613 | Culgoora type II speed: 575 km/s | ||
13 | 0542 | 0550 | 0554 | M2.5 | 0 | III/2 | 21 | 1613 | |||
13 | 2050 | 2054 | 2057 | S22E33 | M2.8 | SN | 220 | III/2 | 21 | 1613 | |
14 | 0359 | 0404 | 0407 | M1.1 | 0 | III/3 | 21 | 1613 |
LOC: approximate heliographic location | TYPE: radio burst type |
XRAY: X-ray flare class | Cat: Catania sunspot group number |
OP: optical flare class | NOAA: NOAA active region number |
10CM: peak 10 cm radio flux |
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=298
Poster for the Session 1: Solar Magnetism and the Solar Cycle
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=299
Poster for the Session 1: Solar Magnetism and the Solar Cycle
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=300
Poster for the Session 1: Solar Magnetism and the Solar Cycle
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=301
Poster for the Session 2: Processes of slow/steady energy release in the solar atmosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=302
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=303
Poster for the Session 2: Processes of slow/steady energy release in the solar atmosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=304
Poster for the Session 2: Processes of slow/steady energy release in the solar atmosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=305
Poster for the Session 2: Processes of slow/steady energy release in the solar atmosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=306
Poster for the Session 2: Processes of slow/steady energy release in the solar atmosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=307
Poster for the Session 2: Processes of slow/steady energy release in the solar atmosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=308
Poster for the Session 2: Processes of slow/steady energy release in the solar atmosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=309
Poster for the Session 2: Processes of slow/steady energy release in the solar atmosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=310
Poster for the Session 3: Eruptive processes in the solar atmosphere and their manifestations in the heliosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=311
Poster for the Session 3: Eruptive processes in the solar atmosphere and their manifestations in the heliosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=312
Poster for the Session 3: Eruptive processes in the solar atmosphere and their manifestations in the heliosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=313
Poster for the Session 3: Eruptive processes in the solar atmosphere and their manifestations in the heliosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=314
Poster for the Session 3: Eruptive processes in the solar atmosphere and their manifestations in the heliosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=315
Poster for the Session 3: Eruptive processes in the solar atmosphere and their manifestations in the heliosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=316
Poster for the Session 3: Eruptive processes in the solar atmosphere and their manifestations in the heliosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=317
Poster for the Session 3: Eruptive processes in the solar atmosphere and their manifestations in the heliosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=318
Poster for the Session 3: Eruptive processes in the solar atmosphere and their manifestations in the heliosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=319
Poster for the Session 3: Eruptive processes in the solar atmosphere and their manifestations in the heliosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=320
Poster for the Session 3: Eruptive processes in the solar atmosphere and their manifestations in the heliosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=321
Poster for the Session 3: Eruptive processes in the solar atmosphere and their manifestations in the heliosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=322
Poster for the Session 3: Eruptive processes in the solar atmosphere and their manifestations in the heliosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=323
Poster for the Session 3: Eruptive processes in the solar atmosphere and their manifestations in the heliosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=324
Poster for the Session 3: Eruptive processes in the solar atmosphere and their manifestations in the heliosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=325
Poster for the Session 3: Eruptive processes in the solar atmosphere and their manifestations in the heliosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=326
Poster for the Session 3: Eruptive processes in the solar atmosphere and their manifestations in the heliosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=327
Poster for the Session 3: Eruptive processes in the solar atmosphere and their manifestations in the heliosphere
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=328
Poster for the Session 4: Data assimilation, visualization and analysis
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=329
Poster for the Session 4: Data assimilation, visualization and analysis
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=330
Poster for the Session 4: Data assimilation, visualization and analysis
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=331
Poster for the Session 4: Data assimilation, visualization and analysis
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=332
Poster for the Session 4: Data assimilation, visualization and analysis
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=333
Poster for the Session 4: Data assimilation, visualization and analysis
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=334
Poster for the Session 4: Data assimilation, visualization and analysis
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=335
A one-day session and workshop was held on the subject of Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GIC) in electrical power networks at the 8th European Space Weather Week, in Namur, Belgium, on 30th November 2011. We describe the questions that were posed at the workshop and summarise the outcomes of the discussions. Among the conclusions reached were the need for improved Sun to Earth numerical models and the need for continued national and international support for space weather monitoring missions and ground networks of instruments. It was also concluded that there was much scope for improved national and international responses to space weather warnings and the need for collaboration between scientists, industry and governments to achieve this.
1.
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=336
Talk in the session Solar Magnetism and the Solar Cycle
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=337
Knowledge of the background solar wind is an important input for CME propagation studies. Since in-situ measurements of the background solar wind are only available at 1 AU, we have to rely on heliospheric models to derive the distribution of solar wind parameters in IP space and hence, to do space weather forecasting. We test the performance of the solar wind models ENLIL/MAS, ENLIL/WSA (CCMC) and MAS (Predictive Science) by comparing model results with in-situ measurements from ACE and Wind. For the study we chose the years 2005 and 2007 as a time period with low solar activity. We found that the general structure of the background solar wind is well reproduced by the models. The best model results were obtained for the parameter solar wind speed. However, the predicted arrival times of high speed solar wind streams have typical uncertainties of the order of 1 – 1.5 days.
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=339
European Space Weather Landscape: Current Perspectives and Requirements for the Future
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=340
European Space Weather Landscape: Current Perspectives and Requirements for the Future
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=341
European Space Weather Landscape: Current Perspectives and Requirements for the Future
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=342
European Space Weather Landscape: Current Perspectives and Requirements for the Future
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=343
European Space Weather Landscape: Current Perspectives and Requirements for the Future
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=344
European Space Weather Landscape: Current Perspectives and Requirements for the Future
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=345
European Space Weather Landscape: Current Perspectives and Requirements for the Future
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=346
European Space Weather Landscape: Current Perspectives and Requirements for the Future
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=347
European Space Weather Landscape: Current Perspectives and Requirements for the Future
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=348
Innovations and Key Challenges in Space Weather Science
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=349
Innovations and Key Challenges in Space Weather Science
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=350
Innovations and Key Challenges in Space Weather Science
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=351
Innovations and Key Challenges in Space Weather Science
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=352
Innovations and Key Challenges in Space Weather Science
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=353
Innovations and Key Challenges in Space Weather Science
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=354
Innovations and Key Challenges in Space Weather Science
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=355
Innovations and Key Challenges in Space Weather Science
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=356
Innovations and Key Challenges in Space Weather Science
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=357
Solar Variability Effects on Climate
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=358
Solar Variability Effects on Climate
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=359
Solar Variability Effects on Climate
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=360
Solar Variability Effects on Climate
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=361
Solar Variability Effects on Climate
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=362
Solar Variability Effects on Climate
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=363
Solar Variability Effects on Climate
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=364
Coupled Space Weather Modelling
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=365
Coupled Space Weather Modelling
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=366
Coupled Space Weather Modelling
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=367
Coupled Space Weather Modelling
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=368
Coupled Space Weather Modelling
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=369
Coupled Space Weather Modelling
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=370
Coupled Space Weather Modelling
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=371
Coupled Space Weather Modelling
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=372
Coupled Space Weather Modelling
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=373
Spacecraft Operations and Space Weather
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=374
Spacecraft Operations and Space Weather
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=375
Spacecraft Operations and Space Weather
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=376
Spacecraft Operations and Space Weather
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=377
Spacecraft Operations and Space Weather
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=378
Spacecraft Operations and Space Weather
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=379
Space Weather in the Solar System
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=381
Space Weather in the Solar System
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=382
Space Weather in the Solar System
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=383
Space Weather in the Solar System
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=384
Space Weather in the Solar System
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=385
Space Weather in the Solar System
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=386
Space Weather in the Solar System
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=387
COST ES0803 Final Results
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=388
COST ES0803 Final Results
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=389
COST ES0803 Final Results
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=390
COST ES0803 Final Results
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=391
COST ES0803 Final Results
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=392
COST ES0803 Final Results
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=393
COST ES0803 Final Results
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=394
COST ES0803 Final Results
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=395
COST ES0803 Final Results
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=396
Spacecraft Operations and Space Weather
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=397
Start : 2013-01-14 - End : 2013-01-17
The Atacama Large Millimeter/submillimeter Array (ALMA), an
international partnership of Europe, North America and East Asia in
cooperation with the Republic of Chile, is the largest astronomical
project in existence.
The workshop aims to bring together the ALMA-minded solar
community to discuss solar observational issues with ALMA, solar
science and planned observations with ALMA, and the planning of
solar ALMA observations.
Th workshop is hosted by Astronomy & Astrophysics Group,
and will take place in School of Physics and Astronomy, University
of Glasgow, Room 323, Kelvin Building.
Website:
http://www.astro.gla.ac.uk/~eduard/solarALMA/
Start : 2013-02-04 - End : 2013-02-08
Helioseismology provides tools for imaging structures and mass
flows below the solar surface, and is becoming an essential
technique for understanding the dynamics of solar activities and
developing physics-based forecasts of the solar cycle, emerging
active regions and energy release events. A better understanding is
needed to unravel the effects of the complex interactions of solar
oscillations with the turbulent magnetized plasma
on global and local helioseismology
diagnostics. These effects are particularly challenging in regions
of strong magnetic fields. Numerical simulations of solar MHD waves
and turbulent dynamics give important insights into the complicated
wave and turbulence physics, and provide synthetic data for
verification and validation of helioseismology methods and
results.
The goals of this workshop are to discuss and stimulate further
development of helioseismology methods, solar interior models, and
realistic numerical simulations. These goals are particularly
important for analysis of the continuous data flow from the Solar
Dynamics Observatory, development and verification of
helioseismology methods, and for theoretical interpretation of
observations and inversion results.
Website:
http://sun.stanford.edu/LWS2013/
Start : 2013-02-28 - End : 2013-02-28
On February 28th, 2013 the AFFECTS team organises an
international user workshop at the Royal Observatory of Belgium in
Brussels.
At the workshop there will be a demonstration of all AFFECTS
space weather
products:
* Near real time dimming and EIT
wave detection
* 3D CME
analysis tool
* Coronal analysis tool
* CME
& solar wind
arrival and impact forecast
tool
* Flare, CME
, geomagnetic, auroral, ionospheric
forecasts & alerts
* Forecast of perturbed TEC
* Solar activity and space weather
timelines viewer
To register, please send an e-mail incl. your full name,
institution, e-mail and (institutional) address to
.
Dörte Dannemann
Website:
http://www.affects-fp7.eu/news-events/user-ws/
Start : 2013-04-07 - End : 2013-04-12
The EGU General Assembly 2013 will bring together geoscientists
from all over the world into one meeting covering all disciplines
of the Earth, Planetary and Space Sciences. Especially for young
scientists, it is the aim of the EGU to provide a forum where they
can present their work and discuss their ideas with experts in all
fields of geosciences. The EGU is looking forward to cordially
welcoming you in Vienna.
Website:
http://www.egu2013.eu/home.html
Start : 2013-04-08 - End : 2013-04-12
The most recent solar minimum, solar cycle 23-24 minimum, was
unusually long (266 spotless days in 2008, the most since 1913),
and the magnetic field at the solar poles was approximately 40%
weaker than the last cycle; and unusually complex (the solar wind
was characterized by a warped
heliospheric current sheet, HCS, and fast-wind
streams at low latitudes: the
fast-wind
threads the ecliptic
more commonly in 2008 than 1996.)
This complexity resulted in many effects observed from Sun to
Earth, with many observations indicating unusual conditions on the
Sun, in the heliosphere
, and in the magnetosphere
, ionosphere
, and upper atmosphere of the
Earth.
This remarkable set of conditions provide the scientific
community with an exceptional opportunity to assess the nature and
structure of a very quiet Sun, and an upper atmosphere relatively
devoid of solar influences, helping to provide a better
understanding of the relative roles of solar activity and internal
variability in the dynamics of the Earth's upper atmosphere and
ionosphere
. Such an understanding requires a
multidisciplinary approach.
The main goal of the conference is to bring together the solar,
heliospheric, magnetospheric, upper atmosphere, and ionospheric
communities to debate and discuss interdisciplinary work and reach
a better understanding of the nature and structure of a very quiet
Sun, and of an upper atmosphere relatively devoid of solar
influences, and in doing so, to help clarify the role of solar
activity in the dynamics and variability of the Earth's upper
atmosphere and ionosphere
relative to the internal
variations.
Website:
http://chapman.agu.org/solarminimum/
Start : 2013-05-06 - End : 2013-05-10
In the last 50 years, helioseismology has made significant
contributions to the knowledge of the Sun's interior physics
and has led the way to asteroseismology. We have now reached an era
where more sophisticated questions are being asked to understand
the subtle properties of the Sun and other stars due to the
synoptic and high-resolution observations available from BISON,
GONG and space missions such as SOHO
, SDO, CoRot and Kepler.
On this occasion, a workshop on the theme of '50 years of the
seismology of the Sun and stars' is being organized to reflect the
progress that has been made as well as to focus on future goals. We
plan to bring together helio- and asteroseismologists, theorists
and observers in a journey that will take us from the interior of
the Sun and its magnetism towards the structure of distant stars
and activity cycles.
Website:
http://www.nso.edu/workshops/2013
Start : 2013-06-23 - End : 2013-06-29
The 2013 ILWS Science Workshop will take place June 23-29, 2013
in Irkutsk, Russia and will be hosted by the Institute of
Solar-Terrestrial Physics of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Website:
http://en.iszf.irk.ru/ILWS_2013
Start : 2013-07-16 - End : 2013-07-25
The Summer School Alpbach enjoys 36 years of tradition in
providing in-depth teaching on different topics of space science
& technology, featuring lectures and concentrated working
sessions on mission studies in self-organised working groups. 60
young highly qualified European science and engineering students
converge annually for stimulating 10 days of work in the Austrian
Alps. 4 teams compete to design a space mission judged by a jury of
experts. Students learn how to approach the design of a satellite
mission and explore new and startling ideas supported by experts.
The Summer School 2013 will focus on Space Weather
.
The purpose of the Summer School is to foster the practical
application of knowledge derived from lectures, to develop
organisational and team-work skills and to encourage creativity.
Teams will compete to design the best project, judged by an
independent jury. The teams themselves are responsible for the
selection of the subject of the project and for the team structure
and working methods.
Website:
http://www.summerschoolalpbach.at/
Start : 2013-09-09 - End : 2013-09-14
We gain information about the universe through analysis of the
spectra from celestial objects. However, while the intensity
spectrum represents a scalar quantity but electromagnetic radiation
occurs in the form of transverse waves, the polarized spectrum
provides us with a 4-vector, the Stokes vector. The increased
amount of information space opens new windows to the universe, in
particular for the exploration of magnetic fields. It is well
recognized that the magnetic field is a primary agent responsible
for structuring and the source of all variability on intermediate
time scales, which manifests itself in all forms of solar and
stellar activity.
It is therefore not surprising that every year there are many
scientific meetings organized with the objective of studying the
role of magnetic fields in cosmic objects. What is largely missing
in these meetings is however an in-depth investigation of the
fundamental aspects of how magnetic fields can be determined by the
means of spectro-polarimetry, our main gateway to cosmic magnetism.
The primary aim of our series of Workshops is to address these
fundamental aspects, with less emphasis on the morphological and
physical properties of cosmic magnetic fields.
Website: http://spw7.ynao.ac.cn/
Start : 2014-08-02 - End : 2014-08-10
The 40th COSPAR Scientific Assembly will be held in Moscow,
Russia from 2 - 10 August 2014. This Assembly is open to all bona
fide scientists.
Website:
http://www.cospar-assembly.org/