The Solar-Terrestrial Centre of Excellence (STCE) is a collaborative network of the Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy, the Royal Observatory of Belgium and the Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium.
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Published by the STCE - this issue : 9 Aug 2013. The Solar-Terrestrial Centre of Excellence (STCE) is a collaborative network of the Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy, the Royal Observatory of Belgium and the Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium. |
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Light flashes or flares that lighten up a part of the solar disk and corona and plasma clouds that are ejected from the Sun may produce a stream of high energy particles that can promptly arrive to the Earth. Those particles bump into satellites that are on their path through space. Satellites outside the protecting Earth magnetic shield are vulnerable and may be damaged badly. Satellites can be even lost. You can imagine what would happen if an astronaut receives such a violent dose of particles. A Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) event can be indeed potentially lethal.
These proton storms cause also troubles closer to Earth. The electrically charged particles can catch up with an Earth magnetic field line and circle to the poles where they interrupt for example the communication between airplanes and the ground control. In this situation, the routes of the airplanes are shifted to regions away from the poles. This detouring is a costly affair. An efficient alert system could be helpful.
A group of international scientific institutes and universities developed a SEP forecast as an answer to this threat from space. When the measured data and solar parameters indicate that it is likely that the Earth will be under attack of energetic particles, an alert is sent. The alert combines two elements: an estimate of the probability that an SEP event will be observed at Earth and a forecast of the impact it will have.
The project in which this alert-system is developed, is called COMESEP, COronal Mass Ejections and Solar Energetic Particles (http://www.comesep.eu - or in a nutshell - http://www.comesep.eu/images/COMESEPDOCS/PUBLIC/Media/COMESEP-FP7_Project_Brochure.pdf ). The leading lady is Norma Crosby from the Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy, BIRA-IASB, a partner of the STCE.
You can subscribe for this alert: http://www.sidc.be/registration/registration_main.php
A warned person is worth two.
Solar (flaring) activity evolved from 'low' to 'very low' during the week.
In order to view the activity of this week in more detail, we suggest to go to the following website from which all the daily (normal and difference) movies can be accessed: http://proba2.oma.be/ssa.
This page also lists the recorded flaring events.
A SWAP weekly overview movie can be found here: http://proba2.oma.be/swap/data/mpg/movies/WeeklyReportMovies/WR175_Jul29toAug04_2013/2013_07_29_00_01_38_2013_08_04_23_17_35_SWAP_174-hq.mp4.
Before providing details about this week’s events, a follow-on on previous week’s Friday July 26th prominence eruption is presented, after some extra processing:
Prominence Eruption on South West Limb @ 18:26 - SWAP processed image
Prominence Eruption on South West Limb @ 18:37 - SWAP processed difference image
Find a movie of the event here: http://proba2.oma.be/swap/data/mpg/movies/WeeklyReportMovies/WR174_Jul22toJul28_2013/Events/Prominence_Eruption/20130726_PromErupt_1837_swap_diff_offpoint.mp4 (SWAP174; HelioViewer.org) (SWAP processed difference movie)
Details about some of this week’s events, can be found further below.
Eruption in South West Quadrant @ 14:43 - SWAP difference image
Eruption in South West Quadrant @ 13:13 - SWAP difference image
Find a movie of the event here: http://proba2.oma.be/swap/data/mpg/movies/WeeklyReportMovies/WR175_Jul29toAug04_2013/Events/20130802_EruptionSouthWestQuad_1313_swap_diff.mp4 (SWAP difference movie)
Prominence Eruption on North West Limb @ 07:08 - SWAP normal image
Find a movie of the event here: http://proba2.oma.be/swap/data/mpg/movies/WeeklyReportMovies/WR175_Jul29toAug04_2013/Events/20130803_PromEruptionNorthWestLimb_0708_swap_movie.mp4 (SWAP normal movie)
Eruption in South East Quadrant @ 22:58 - SWAP difference image
Flaring activity was low. Although several sunspots were present and some even popped up in the course of the week, only 3 were able to produce in total 5 C-flares on July 29, 30 and 31. When the last C-flare was fired off in the morning of July 31, the X-ray radiation became very quiet. One could hardly believe we are in a solar max.
A coronal hole in the northern hemisphere that was situated between 20° and 45° reached the central meridian on July 29.
The solar wind was excellent in behaving smooth causing no trouble at all. The geomagnetic conditions were conform this behaviour: quiet. Until Aug 4.
On Aug 4, an interaction region of a slow and fast solar wind arrived near Earth. This interaction region is indicated in the ACE graphs with white dotted lines in the figure below, denoting the beginning and the end of this particular solar wind event. The magnetic field became much stronger as there is a clear bump in the white curve in the top panel. The plasma is also more compressed in such a region where the slow and fast wind interact. The blue dotted line is the so-called stream interface. It is a rather abrupt transition where the solar wind speed increases suddenly and the plasma becomes hotter and less dense.
The magnetic field rotated from the sector where the magnetic field points towards the Sun (Phi = 0° or 360°) to a sector with the magnetic field pointing outwards (Phi = 180°). A rotation is however a-typical for this sort of solar wind structures. In normal circumstances - if you could ever speak about normal circumstances in space weather physics - the Phi-parameter fluctuates. In the interaction region, it seems that the magnetic field has difficulties with choosing a clear pointing direction.
The solar wind speed increased to almost 600 km/s during the second part of Aug 4. When plasma travels at a speed of around 600 km/s, it takes a little less than 3 days to travel from the Sun to the Earth. Counting back 3 days from Aug 4, we arrive on Aug 1. At that moment, the coronal hole mentioned in the previous section had passed the central meridian. But, it is very likely that this coronal hole is responsible for this solar wind trouble.
The figure shows the time evolution of the Vertical Total Electron Content (VTEC) (in red) during the last week at three locations:
a) in the northern part of Europe(N61°, 5°E)
b) above Brussels(N50.5°, 4.5°E)
c) in the southern part of Europe(N36°, 5°E)
This figure also shows (in grey) the normal ionospheric behaviour expected based on the median VTEC from the 15 previous days.
The VTEC is expressed in TECu (with TECu=10^16 electrons per square meter) and is directly related to the signal propagation delay due to the ionosphere (in figure: delay on GPS L1 frequency).
The Sun's radiation ionizes the Earth's upper atmosphere, the ionosphere, located from about 60km to 1000km above the Earth's surface.The ionization process in the ionosphere produces ions and free electrons. These electrons perturb the propagation of the GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) signals by inducing a so-called ionospheric delay.
See http://stce.be/newsletter/GNSS_final.pdf for some more explanations ; for detailed information, see http://gnss.be/ionosphere_tutorial.php
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=476
http://www.spaceweather.eu/en/repository/show?id=477
Start : 2013-08-16 - End : 2013-08-31
The Local Organising Committee and the Mexico National Committee
of IUGG have the great pleasure to welcome you to the 11th
Scientific Assembly of the International Association of
Geomagnetism and Aeronomy (IAGA) which is held in Mérida
Yucatán, Mexico from 26 to 31 August 2013 with the
motto: "Living on a Magnetic Planet". Our Magnetic Planet
Capricious (Changeable or Unpredictable) Field.
In order to increase the visibility and attractiveness of IAGA
to young researchers, to motivate them to play active role within
IAGA and to create (and enhance) their awareness of IAGA and sense
of belonging to IAGA, the first IAGA Summer School will be
organized just prior the Assembly. The summer school will provide
overview of the activities carried out within all the IAGA
divisions, with subjects from paleomagnetism and magnetic
anisotropy through observatories and geomagnetic field modeling to
ionospheric and aeronomic research. At least 20 young scientists
from all around the world will be invited based on the nominations
from Working Groups and Divisions. Special call and more
information will be published before the end of 2012.
Website: http://iaga2013.org.mx/
Start : 2013-08-25 - End : 2013-08-29
This conference will focus on instrumentation, observatories,
space missions, and programs for observations from the Sun to
Earth's upper atmosphere and space environment. The aim is to bring
together diverse communities working on all elements of solar
physics and space weather instrumentation.
Studying solar phenomena and monitoring space weather requires
observations using both space- and ground-based instrumentations
covering the different regions of the Sun-Earth system, the Sun,
interplanetary medium, magnetosphere, ionosphere, and thermosphere.
Papers are solicited concerning all instrumentation-supporting
solar physics and space weather. This includes, but is not limited
to, concepts, designs, fabrication processes, calibration, data
trending, information technologies, solar data mining, instrument
modeling, and satellite lifetime prediction modeling. We are also
interested in all past, current, and future solar space missions
and satellite and ground constellations of space weather
instrumentation with a strong focus on Space Situational
Awareness.
This conference is intended to provide the solar physics
community and that of Earth's space environment with a forum for
discussing the latest updates on instrumentation, observation
techniques, and programs in their respective fields, and for
proposing innovative ideas for future Sun-Earth coordinated
observations.
Website: http://spie.org/op423
Start : 2013-09-04 - End : 2013-09-06
The purpose of the meeting is to provide a forum for the italian
scientists in the field (some of which are abroad) to consolidate
on-going collaborations and establish new ones, for example in
future projects such as Solar Orbiter and EST, where several of us
are involved.
The meeting is obviously open to scientists from all the
countries!
Website:
http://www.oact.inaf.it/weboac/SoHe2013/
Start : 2013-09-08 - End : 2013-09-12
The European Solar Physics Meetings aim to highlight all aspects
of modern solar physics, including observation and theory that span
from the interior of the Sun out into the wider heliosphere. These
meetings provide a broad, yet stimulating, environment for European
and international scientists to share their research in solar
physics.
The meeting will mostly comprise of contributed talks and poster
presentations, with several invited review talks (typically one per
session). Posters will be on display for the whole meeting in close
proximity to the lecture theatre. Refreshments will be served in
the poster viewing area during two dedicated coffee/poster breaks
on each full day.
Website: http://www.espm14.ie/
Start : 2013-09-09 - End : 2013-09-14
We gain information about the universe through analysis of the
spectra from celestial objects. However, while the intensity
spectrum represents a scalar quantity but electromagnetic radiation
occurs in the form of transverse waves, the polarized spectrum
provides us with a 4-vector, the Stokes vector. The increased
amount of information space opens new windows to the universe, in
particular for the exploration of magnetic fields. It is well
recognized that the magnetic field is a primary agent responsible
for structuring and the source of all variability on intermediate
time scales, which manifests itself in all forms of solar and
stellar activity.
It is therefore not surprising that every year there are many
scientific meetings organized with the objective of studying the
role of magnetic fields in cosmic objects. What is largely missing
in these meetings is however an in-depth investigation of the
fundamental aspects of how magnetic fields can be determined by the
means of spectro-polarimetry, our main gateway to cosmic magnetism.
The primary aim of our series of Workshops is to address these
fundamental aspects, with less emphasis on the morphological and
physical properties of cosmic magnetic fields.
Website: http://spw7.ynao.ac.cn/
Start : 2013-09-16 - End : 2013-09-20
The meeting will cover a broad range of aspects of solar
physics, space science and solar-terrestrial relations. We aim to
include every side of solar and space research, including
observations, theory, and numerical modelling. The main idea behind
the meeting is to treat the entire solar-terrestrial domain as one
system, rather than each region independently.
The topics to be covered are:
* advanced solar observations
* waves and flows in the Solar atmosphere
* structure and dynamics of solar magnetic fields
* connecting analytical theory and modern numerical simulations
to observations
* new physics in numerical modelling
* linking solar interior with heliosphere
* particle acceleration in the Sun and heliosphere
* non-linear phenomena in space plasmas
* physics of magnetosphere and ionosphere
Website:
http://swat.group.shef.ac.uk/Conferences/Ukraine_UK_2013/index.html
Start : 2013-09-16 - End : 2013-09-19
This summer school targets to introduce a generation of young
researchers (advanced master students, PhDs, and junior
postdoctoral researchers) to the diverse aspects of space weather
related research.
It will introduce theoretical approaches to space weather and
its drivers, present modern solar data analysis tools, and cover
state-of-the-art solar and space science simulations. Participants
will learn about forecasting aspects and their quality control for
space weather events, but also experience hands-on training in
scientific proposal writing and receive do-and-don't tips for
scientific presentations.
The scientific program is enriched by a public evening lecture
on the solar influence on our climate, and the lecturers are
invariably expert scientists with international standing.
The school is open to a maximum of 40 participants, and can
benefit from its embedding within two international research
network activities: an Interuniversity Attraction Pole P7/08 CHARM
connecting heliospheric to astrophysical communities with 7 partner
institutes, and a European FP7 Project eHeroes with 15 different
partner institutes. Participation from outside both network
activities is strongly encouraged. Within Belgium, the school links
up expertise from universities (KU Leuven, ULB, Gent University) to
federal research institutes (the Solar-Terrestrial Centre of
Excellence, the Royal Observatory of Belgium and the Belgian
Institute for Space Aeronomy).
Website:
http://wis.kuleuven.be/CHARM/events/school/SSTW2013/
Start : 2013-10-07 - End : 2013-10-11
The aim of the workshop is to review the "state of the art"
theories about generation and propagation of Solar radio burst and
discuss the observational constrains and results that have been
provided in this area by the WIND & STEREO missions during the
last 20 years. Furthermore the STEREO & WIND observations will
be put in the context of other missions such as RHESSI and ground
based observatories. Finally, the preparation for the future
explorations foreseen with Solar Orbiter and Solar Probe Plus will
be discussed.
Website:
http://type3stereo.sciencesconf.org/
Start : 2013-10-24 - End : 2013-10-26
Initiated by Profs. Fang and Choudhury, the first Asian-Pacific
Solar Physics Meeting (APSPM) was held in Bangalore two years ago.
During the meeting, a consensus was achieved that it might be a
good idea to have the APSPM every three years. Somehow the second
APSPM was proposed to be held by mainland China in 2013. APSPM is
aimed to exchange the recent research results in solar physics in
the emerging asian-pacific region.
Asian-pacific regions are getting more and more active in solar
physics, as signified by the construction of big facilities,
including the Hinode satellite (Japan), SOXS (India), Chinese Solar
Radio Heliogragh, and Optical & Near-Infrared Solar Eruption
Tracer (ONSET). Therefore, colleagues have agreed to hold regional
solar physics meetings regularly. The first Asian-Pacific Solar
Physics Meeting (APSPM) was held in Bangalore during March 22-24
2011. During the meeting, a consensus was achieved that it might be
a good idea to have the APSPM every three years. Somehow the second
APSPM was proposed to be held by mainland China in 2013. APSPM is
aimed to exchange the recent research results in solar physics in
the emerging asian-pacific region.
Website:
http://sdac.nju.edu.cn/~solar/
Start : 2013-10-27 - End : 2013-10-31
Magnetic helicity has been intensively studied from
observational, theoretical, and many other aspects of solar
physics. For this meeting we would like to invite solar physicists
who are interested in the observational and theoretical studies of
the helicity, to encourage thorough discussions on the relevant hot
issues. The 1st Helicity Thinkshop was held successfully in 2009,
and now the 2nd one will be held on October 27-31, 2013 in Beijing,
China.
Website:
http://sun.bao.ac.cn/meetings/HT2013/
Start : 2013-10-28 - End : 2013-11-02
The Worshop and School on Radio Sun in Beijing and Inner
Mongolia during Oct.28 - Nov. 2, 2013 is the first international
academic seminar supported by the International Research Staff
Exchange Scheme of the Seventh Fromework Programme of the European
Union (FP7-IRSES-295272-RADIOSUN).
The primary aim of this programme is to establish close research
interaction and collaboration between the key research groups
involved in CSRH, SSRT, and ALMA projects and in development of
relevant theory and data analysis tools, through the systematic
research staff and knowledge exchange, joint research efforts
exploiting existing data and facilities, and preparing the future
world-class partnership in exploitation of the upcoming
facilities.
The Workshop and School welcome all solar physicsts and students
who are interested in solar radio astronomy to participate. We will
discuss and exchange the scientific frontier problems, including
the new-generation radio instruments (CSRH, Siberian
multi-frequency radioheliograph, LOFAR, ALMA, and other new
instruments), recent achievements and their scientific goals;
methods and techniques of data processing (for example, software,
radio image reconstructions, and method for studying various types
of solar radio fine structures); and the objectives of new
observational data and new mathematical methods.
Website:
http://beijingradiosun.csp.escience.cn/
Start : 2013-11-11 - End : 2013-11-22
Magnetic fields play an important role in many astrophysical
processes. But magnetic are difficult to detect and to model or
understand, since the fundamental equations describing the behavior
of magnetized plasmas are highly non-linear. Hence, magnetic fields
are often an inconvenient subject which is overlooked or simply
neglected. Such difficulty burdens the research on magnetic fields,
which has evolved to become a very technical subject, with many
small disconnected communities studying specific aspects and
details.
The school tries to amend the situation by providing a unifying
view of the subject. The students would have a chance to understand
the behavior of magnetic fields in all astrophysical contexts, from
cosmology to the Sun. From star-bursting regions to AGNs in
galaxies. The school will present a balanced yet complete review of
our knowledge. Extensions into the unknown are also important to
indicate present and future lines of research.
The Winter School will bring together in a relaxed working
atmosphere a number of the leading scientists in this field, PhD
students and recent postdocs. The conditions for a successful
interaction will be granted, including two special sessions for
those students that want to present their own work.
Website:
http://www.iac.es/winterschool/2013/
Start : 2013-11-12 - End : 2013-11-15
Since its launch in Sep-2006, more than 600 refereed papers have
been published based on Hinode observations, presenting many new
and important findings to the scientific community. However, due to
the unexpectedly low levels of solar activity, until now the focus
has mainly been on the more quiescent aspects of the solar cycle.
With the solar maximum expected this year, through cooperative
observations with SDO, IRIS, and ground based observatories, Hinode
observations should lead to our understanding of active Sun
phenomena, such as solar flares and CMEs, to be greatly improved.
Making Hinode-7 an excellent opportunity to discuss solar activity
in the current solar cycle and the related science through the use
Hinode data, as well as other solar/space weather data. It will
also be interesting to use this meeting to broaden our focus to
include the solar-stellar connection as a means to deepen our
understanding of solar activity.
Momentum is also gaining for Solar-C, which is being developed
as an international collaboration between Japan, US and Europe. To
further discuss this mission, the Solar-C science meeting will be
held on 11-Nov.
Website:
http://www.kwasan.kyoto-u.ac.jp/hinode-7/
Start : 2013-11-18 - End : 2013-11-22
This International CAWSES-II Symposium hosted by SCOSTEP
(Scientific Committee on Solar-Terrestrial Physics) will provide an
excellent opportunity to discuss the scientific accomplishments of
CAWSES-II and look forward to SCOSTEP's future programs at a moment
toward the end of its five-year period. The symposium will cover
the six major themes of CAWSES-II tasks: 1) What are the solar
influences on the Earth's climate?, 2) How will geospace respond to
an altered climate?, 3) How does short-term solar variability
affect the geospace environment?, 4) What is the geospace response
to variable inputs from the lower atmosphere?, 5) Capacity
Building, 6) Informatics and eScience. The main functions of
CAWSES-II are to help coordinate international activities in
observations, modeling, and applications crucial to achieving this
understanding, to involve scientists in both developed and
developing countries, and to provide educational opportunities for
students of all levels. The symposium offers keynotes/lectures that
will be interesting for all participants every morning and more
specific sessions of presentations in the afternoon. We welcome all
those who are involved and/or interested in CAWSES-II to Nagoya in
the autumn when we will have the pleasure of being surrounded by
beautiful colorful leaves of this season.
Website:
http://www.cawses.org/CAWSES/leaflet_CAWSES-II_120229.pdf
Start : 2013-11-18 - End : 2013-11-22
The 10th Edition of the European Space Weather
Week will take place on 18-22nd
November 2013 in Belgium. The venue will be confirmed early next
year, but mark your calendars now for the 10th Anniversary of this
growing European event.
The ESWW will again adopt the central aim of bringing together
the diverse groups in Europe working on different aspects of Space
Weather
. This includes but isn't
limited to the scientific community, the engineering community,
applications developers, service providers and service end users.
The meeting organisation will again be coordinated by the Belgian
Solar-Terrestrial Centre of Excellence (STCE), ESA
and the Space Weather
Working Team. The local
organisation will be done by the STCE.
Website:
http://www.stce.be/esww10/
Start : 2014-08-02 - End : 2014-08-10
The 40th COSPAR Scientific Assembly will be held in Moscow,
Russia from 2 - 10 August 2014. This Assembly is open to all bona
fide scientists.
Website:
http://www.cospar-assembly.org/