Plenary - Space weather effects on HF and trans-ionospheric radio wave propagation
Ioanna Tsagouri, David Altadill, Nicolas Bergeot, Michael Pezzopane
Tuesday 19/11, 09:00 - 10:30 and 11:00 - 12:30
Space weather affects radio propagation conditions by means of ionospheric disturbances in such manner and
extent that can disrupt various radio systems, such as HF and satellite communications, navigation systems,
remote sensing and specialized surveillance operations. The broad range of the related applications and
their relevance in many of the contemporary human activities requires continuous upgrade of our capabilities to
cope with the space weather effects on such systems. In this framework, we propose a session to address
recent advances in assessing ionospheric effects on radio propagation, including total electron content
and scintillation effects, travelling ionospheric disturbances, together with HF propagation effects.
The current needs indicate the development and implementation of methods, tools and services for monitoring
and predicting the ionospheric impact, but this in turn implies progress in the understanding of the driving
space weather mechanisms and improvements to the observing capabilities. The proposed session aims to welcome
papers addressing all these aspects.
Oral contributions
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09:00
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Invited
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Real Time Assimilative Global IRI Electron Density Model using GIRO Measurements to Assess Space Weather Events
Reinisch, Bodo1; Galkin, Ivan2; Huang, Xueqin1; Nsumei, Patrick3; Bilitza, Dieter4
1Lowell Digisonde International, UNITED STATES;
2University of Massachusetts, UNITED STATES;
3University of Massachusetts Lowell, UNITED STATES;
4George Mason University, UNITED STATES
Ionospheric models are mostly unable to correctly predict the
effects of space weather events on the ionosphere. This is especially
true for the International Reference Ionosphere (IRI) which by design
is a monthly median climatology model [Bilitza et al., 2011]. The IRI
electron density profile critically depends on the correct values of
the F2 layer peak height and density, hmF2 and NmF2 (or foF2) which are
directly affected by most space weather events. Real time data from the
global ionosonde network GIRO [Reinisch and Galkin, 2011] are
assimilated in the IRI electron density model in an effort to create
the IRI Real Time Assimilative Model IRTAM. First results for the foF2
assimilation are available at http://giro.uml.edu/RTAM [Galkin et al.,
2012]. New GIRO data arrive nominally every 15 min –possibly
faster during campaigns- and new electron density profiles are
generated. Using the new Vary-Chap profile model [Nsumei et al., 2012]
for the topside profiles leads to more realistic total electron content
estimates.
Refernces
Bilitza D., L.-A. McKinnell, B. Reinisch, and T.
Fuller-Rowell (2011), The International Reference Ionosphere (IRI)
today and in the future, J. Geodesy, 85:909-920, DOI
10.1007/s00190-010-0427-x
Galkin, I. A., B. W. Reinisch, X. Huang, and D.
Bilitza (2012), Assimilation of GIRO Data into a Real-Time IRI, Radio
Sci., 47, RS0L07, doi:10.1029/2011RS004952.
Nsumei, P., B. W. Reinisch, X. Huang, and D. Bilitza
(2012), New Vary-Chap profile of the topside ionosphere electron
density distribution for use with the IRI Model and the GIRO real time
data, Radio Sci., doi:10.1029/2012RS004989.
Real time assimilative foF2 maps for IRI
Reinisch, B. W. and I. A. Galkin (2011), Global Ionospheric Radio Observatory (GIRO), Earth, Planets and Space, 63(4), 377-381.
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09:30
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The Upgraded DIAS System: New Products for the TopsideIionosphere and Plasmasphere and for the high Latitude Ionosphere
Belehaki, Anna1; Kutiev, I.2; Zolesi, B.3; Tsagouri, I.1; Marinov, Pencho2; Pietrella, Marco3; Elias, Panagiotis1; Tziotziou, K.1; Themelis, K.1
1National Observatory of Athens, GREECE;
2Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, BULGARIA;
3INGV, ITALY
Knowledge of the state of the upper atmosphere, and in
particular its ionized part, is very important in several applications
affected by space weather, especially the communications and navigation
systems that rely on radio transmission. To better classify the
ionosphere and forecast its disturbances over Europe, a data and model
infrastructure platform called the European Digital Upper Atmosphere
Server (DIAS) has been established in the National Observatory of
Athens by a European consortium formed around eight ionospheric
stations, and funded by the European Commission.
The DIAS system operates since 2006 and the basic
products that are delivered are real-time and historical ionograms,
frequency plots and maps of the ionosphere on the foF2, M(3000)F2, MUF
and bottomside electron density, as well as long term and short term
forecasting up to 24 hour ahead. The DIAS system supports more than 500
subscribed users, including telecommunication companies, satellite
operators, space agencies, radio amateurs, research organizations and
the space weather scientific community. In 2012 the system has been
upgraded, in close collaboration between NOA, INGV and BAS, with
funding from the ESA/SSA Programme.
The first group of new products results from the
implementation of the TaD model (Topside Sounder Model assisted by
Digisonde) that makes possible the generation of maps of the electron
density at heights up to GNSS orbits, and of TEC and partial TEC maps
(topside and plasmaspheric) over Europe. The TaD is based on the simple
empirical functions for the transition height, the topside electron
density scale height and their ratio, based on the Alouette/ISIS
database, and models separately the oxygen, hydrogen and helium ions
density profiles. The model takes as input the plasma characteristics
at the height of maximum electron concentration that are provided in
real-time by the DIAS Digisondes. To further improve its accuracy, we
adjust the modeled TEC parameter with the GNSS-TEC parameter calculated
at the Digisondes location. This adjustment forces the model to
correctly reproduce the topside scale height, even in cases when the
scale height at hmF2 is not available. This adjustment is very
important for the application of TaD in an operational environment.
The second group of new products consists of long term
prediction and of nowcasting maps of the foF2 parameter that cover the
whole European region - including Scandinavia. Long term prediction
maps have been extended to 80 deg N applying the CCIR coefficients for
the region above 65 deg N, while from 32 to 60 deg N we continue to
apply SIRM (Simplified Ionospheric Regional Model), as in the case of
middle latitude maps that are released routinely by the DIAS system.
Between 60 and 65 deg N there is a buffer zone where an interpolation
routine is applied. Nowcasting maps are based on the SIRMUP (SIRM
updated in real-time) concept, however, a different effective sunspot
number (Reff) is estimated for each latitudinal zone, from which a
synthetic Reff is calculated.
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09:45
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Report on Establishing a- 'Global Ionospheric Flare Detection System' (GIFDS)
Wenzel, Daniela; Jakowski, Norbert; Berdermann, Jens
German Aerospace Center (DLR), GERMANY
Solar flares influence the Earth's space up to its surface for
several minutes and are often precursors of space weather storms. These
phenomena are often related to coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and gain
more and more interest. Hence, the DLR Neustrelitz started recently the
project 'Global Ionospheric Flare Detection System - GIFDS' to
establish an operational near real time ground based warning system.
If a solar flare hits the Earth, the ionization of the
bottomside ionosphere increases which impacts the propagation of VLF
waves during daytime by a sudden significant change in signal strength
and phase. In order to receive permanent information from the dayside
sector the warning system requires a network of VLF receivers around
the globe. DLR is just establishing the first two receivers at DLR
Neustrelitz and in US at the University of Alabama Huntsville.
Operational measurements are realized by Perseus SDR
(Software Defined Radio) receivers enabling the reception of multiple
frequency channels in a range of 10 to 60 kHz. As simultaneous
measurements at different channels show the same characteristic
variation, the impact of a solar flare is assumed and a warning message
will be automatically generated and distributed. In comparison to X ray
data of GOES satellite, further analyses are accomplished concerning
the reliability, strength and time resolution of derived warnings.
Preliminary results are reported.
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10:00
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The Ability to Forecast Sporadic E Layer Appearance
Dziak-Jankowska, Beata; Stanislawska, Iwona; Tomasik, Lukasz; Pozoga, Mariusz
SRC PAS, POLAND
The forecast of sporadic E layer occurring locally and sometimes nontransparent is the crucial topic for radiocommunication.
We propose the method of forecasting sporadic E layer
appearance. The method is based on magnetic data and the changes of
magnetic Eta parameter defined as the square root of a ratio of the
energy of the external part of the vertical component to that of the
horizontal components. We present the correlation of sporadic E layer
appearance 1-2 hours after the increase of Eta value. The correlation
between data from different European ionosondes and data from magnetic
observatories lying close to the selected ionosonde was taking into
account. We apply autocovariance method for prediction of the Eta index
variations and in this connection the sporadic E layer appearance.
Forecasting method and statistics for Warsaw ionosonde and data from
Belsk Magnetic Observatory placed 50 km South-West from Warsaw are
presented. Near real time magnetic data from Belsk (every 30 minutes)
give the possibility to predict the Eta index variations and the
sporadic E layer appearance 2 hours after the increase of the eta
value.
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10:15
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GINESTRA, MImOSA and MEDSTEC: Competence Surveys within the ESA ALCANTARA Initiatives
Alfonsi, Lucilla1; Povero, Gabriella2; Rose, Julian3
1Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, ITALY;
2Istituto Superiore Mario Boella, ITALY;
3University of Bath, UNITED KINGDOM
On October 2012 ESA funded the competence surveys titled
GINESTRA (Ground-based Ionosphere monitoring Networks in SoutheasTeRn
Asia: a survey), MEDSTEC (Towards Mapping of Electron Density,
Scintillation and Total Electron Content) and MImOSA (Monitoring the
Ionosphere over South America) in the frame of the ALCANTARA
initiatives (http://www.esa.int/SPECIALS/GSP/SEMDZ9NLM5H_0.html). The
three projects started between October and November 2012 and ended on
May-June 2013.
The competence surveys were addressed to the
assessment of the current capabilities on ionospheric monitoring in the
areas of interest (South-eastern Asia, Africa and South America,
respectively), in order to understand how the existing facilities can
be integrated with new installations, to effectively support and/or
improve space weather activities oriented to assist GNSS operations.
Over the considered regions, the presence of the Equatorial Ionospheric
Anomaly and of the South Atlantic Magnetic Anomaly produces important
peculiarities in the distribution of the plasma irregularities.
Consolidating the operational monitoring of these irregularities, by
taking also into account possible improvement on existing monitoring
networks, can positively impact models and space weather activities.
The surveys were made through: a careful analysis of the existing
literature, a close interaction with public and private local entities
and a dissemination activity.
The paper presents the results of the three surveys and the possible follow-up actions in the field.
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11:00
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Invited
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Recent Developments in the Understanding of Space Weather Effects on Satellite Navigation Systems
Forte, Biagio
University of Bath, UNITED KINGDOM
Space weather may cause disruptions to satellite-based
telecommunication and navigation services owing to degradation of radio
signals when propagating through the ionised portion of the Earth’s atmosphere.
Trans-ionospheric radio waves may be scattered when
propagating through large-to-small scale plasma density
inhomogeneities. The net result of this scattering process is to
disperse the energy carried by the signal and manifest as random
fluctuations in amplitude and phase (i.e. scintillation), associated
with lower tracking C/N0 conditions. The appearance of plasma density
inhomogeneities varies with solar and magnetic activities, local time,
latitude and season, in response to space weather conditions.
The impact of adverse space weather conditions on
satellite navigation systems and services include accuracy degradation
in code and carrier measurements as well as in differential
positioning, losses of lock and cycle slips, unavailability of SBAS
messages.
Recent developments are presented on the following
aspects: (1) further understanding of the scattering mechanisms leading
to radio wave scintillation, (2) space weather impact on different GNSS
frequencies and corresponding signal tracking, (3) occurrences of
losses of lock at both high and low equatorial latitudes.
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11:30
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Interference Effect in the Collection of Gnss Ionospheric Scintillation Data.
Romero, Rodrigo; Dovis, Fabio
Politecnico di Torino, ITALY
The free electrons present in the earth's ionosphere affect
GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite Systems) signals by introducing
delays in their propagation that may be corrected in part or entirely
by the use of several known techniques. But the ionosphere is not a
regular medium and electron density irregularities may appear that can
strongly affect wave propagation, causing rapid fluctuations in the
amplitude and phase of the GNSS signals called scintillations.
Scintillations can cause serious degradation problems to the
performance of GNSS receivers by inducing cycle slips, losses of lock
of the signals and decreasing the accuracy of the PVT solution.
Scintillation activity depends on solar and geomagnetic activity,
season, local time, geographic location and frequency. The approach of
the next solar maximum predicted for 2013 will bring an increase of
ionospheric disturbances, with possible degradations of the services
relying on GNSS. This have driven the research interest both from the
academy and industry to improve the robustness of GNSS to the threats
posed by ionospheric activity.
Ionospheric Scintillation Monitoring Receivers (ISMR)
are specialized receivers able to track and monitor scintillations in
order to collect data that can be used to model the phenomenon, study
its affects at receiver level and possibly predict its occurrence in
the future. They make use of correlation data from the tracking
processing blocks to measure the amount of scintillation affecting a
satellite signal in both amplitude and phase. This is normally done by
computing the S4 and phase deviation indexes in a minute by minute
basis.
Within this work we deal with a specific environment
of an ISMR where the monitoring of scintillation activity is threatened
by the presence of radio frequency interference in the operation area.
Given the crowded telecommunication environment where ISMR are likely
to work in the next years, it is of interest to study the effects that
other telecom systems transmitting at carrier frequencies close to the
GNSS bands may have on the estimation of scintillation indexes due to
unintentional leakages of power out of their allocated bandwidth.
Robust tracking of GNSS signals under such conditions must be
guaranteed and it must also be ensured as best as possible that the
typical scintillation indices output by these receivers are not
affected by the additional error source. RFI is, among the different
error sources that corrupt satellite navigation waveforms, a
particularly harmful error since in some cases it cannot be mitigated
by a simple correlation process. This is indeed a problem that may
affect the detection of ionospheric scintillation when monitored by
GNSS signals, and will be analyzed in several interference scenarios.
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11:45
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Observed High-Latitude GNSS Disturbances during a Less-Than-Minor Geomagnetic Storm
Jacobsen, Knut; Andalsvik, Yngvild
Norwegian Mapping Authority, NORWAY
Ionospheric disturbances at high latitudes can affect modern satellite based
navigation and positioning systems. These effects can be complex and has not been
studied as extensively as the effects at lower latitudes. The Norwegian Mapping Authority
(NMA) monitors ionospheric activity trough our Real Time Ionospheric Monitor (RTIM)
and are establishing a network of scintillation receivers for a real-time monitoring of
scintillations in this area.
We present the ionospheric observations from a recent geomagnetic storm, and the
observed consequences for a network RTK positioning service. Using data from monitor stations, we
show the positioning errors that a user would experience during such an event.
Although the storm in question only reached a Kp index of 4, which is below the NOAA scale
for geomagnetic storms, it caused serious disturbances of the network RTK positioning at high latitudes (65-70 degrees N).
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12:00
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Spline Model for high- Latitude Ionospheric Scintillation using In Situ Data
Priyadarshi, Shishir1; Wernik, Andrzej W.2
1Space Research Centre, POLAND;
2Space Research Center, POLAND
Dynamics Explorer 2 retarding potential analyzer (RPA) plasma
density data is used as input to de Boor B-spline function. The
satellite was on a nearly polar orbit. Various parameters derived from
DE 2 satellite data needed for the scintillation index calculation have
been modeled. Results are presented in the form of maps, of those
parameters and scintillation index S4 in the geographic coordinates for
various geophysical conditions.
Key words: scintillation index, spline model, high latitude etc.
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12:15
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Ionospheric Irregularities Morphology as Derived by GNSS Scintillation Monitors
Stevanović, Đorđe
Centrum Badań Kosmicznych, POLAND
Ionospheric influence on GNSS satellite signals delay, phase
and amplitude changes can be deduced from information about various
drifting ionospheric density structures. Large and small scale
structures behaviour in the ionosphere can describe changes of the
signal propagating in ionospheric plasma. This is the main source of
problems for satellite positioning systems that has not been
satisfactory solved yet.
We present a case study of ionospheric irregular
structures patterns during geomagnetic storm event occured on 5th and
6th April 2010, measured by GPS monitors set on Svalbard and other
diagnostic tools. In purpose of comparison we included data of quiet
ionosphere period as reference point. Analyses of spatial and temporal
phase gradients has been used as a basic tool for calculations of the
properties of ionospheric electron concentration irregularities. The
properties derived depend on the model of propagation of waves in
ionosphere. We validated estimated properties of ionospheric
irregularities using additional measurements.
Purpose of this investigation is to recognize
ionospheric scintillation diffraction pattern, provide relation between
phase measurements and properties of ionospheric irregularities for
further forecasting and mitigation of ionospheric effects.
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On the Possible Use of Radio Occultation Middle Latitude Electron Density Profiles to Retrieve Thermospheric Parameters
Mikhaylov, A.1; Belehaki, Anna2; Perrone, Loredana3; Zolesi, Bruno3; Tsagouri, Ioanna2
1IZMIRAN, RUSSIAN FEDERATION;
2National Observatory of Athens, GREECE;
3INGV, ITALY
A method to retrieve the main thermospheric parameters (Tn,
[O], [N2], [O2]) from electron density profile is applied for the first
time to middle latitude daytime COSMIC and CHAMP ionospheric radio
occultation (IRO) electron density profiles (EDP). It is shown that
COSMIC IRO EDP can be used with the method under solar minimum
(2007-2008) conditions to give neutral gas density with 10% inaccuracy.
This agrees with the declared absolute inaccuracy of (10-15)% of CHAMP
observations. However about 50% of the tested profiles from COSMIC
either did not provide solutions at all or gave incorrect solutions due
to their insufficient accuracy. The large percent of rejections
indicate that IRO EDP must be carefully treated to eliminate some
artificial results that are not consistent with the mid-latitude
daytime F2-layer formalism that our method relies on. Consequently
further filtering is required to be applied to the near-real time IRO
EDP in order to be ingested as in put to our method for future on-line
implementation. For solar maximum conditions the method was tested with
IRO EDP from CHAMP and its performance was found to be quite stable.
However CHAMP EDP are confined around 400 km in altitude and this is
too low for getting correct solutions under solar maximum conditions.
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The Variation on the High Frequency (HF) Radio Frequency in West Malaysia
Abd Malik, Rafidah; Abdullah, Mardina; Abdullah, Sabirin
Malaysian National University, MALAYSIA
High Frequency (HF) system is absolutely depending upon the
ionosphere because ionosphere acts as a radio reflector. The Sun has an
enormous impact on HF radio propagation because it affects the
ionosphere which gives rise to most of the long distance effects that
enable long distance radio communications on the HF bands. Survival of
the ionosphere is directly related to radiations emitted from the sun,
thus the movement of the Earth around the Sun or changes in the Sun's
activity will result in variations in the ionosphere. Hence the
variation of ionosphere gives an important role to the HF propagation
that is a frequency which may provide successful communication now may
not achieve an hour later. There are two general types of variations
that is regular and irregular. Both regular and irregular variations
have important effects on radio wave propagation. The regular
variations that affect the extent of ionization in the ionosphere can
be divided into three main classes: daily, seasonal, and sunspot
variations. This paper is to study the variation of HF radio frequency
and find the better HF channel for transmission in West Malaysia. The
study will be limited to daily and sunspot variations. The study of HF
in Malaysia is not very explored, so this study is the onset of HF
study. Maximum usable frequency (MUF) is the highest frequency that
allows reliable long-range communication between two points on the
earth. In this study lower decile MUF, which is the optimum working
frequency (OWF), has been selected to be predicted and transmitted
because it provides a successful communication for 90% of the month.
The transmission tests are conducted between Kajang (Lat. 2°097'N,
Long. 101°079'E) Batu Arang (Lat. 3°032'N, Long. 101°047'E)
and Lumut (Lat. 4°022'N, Long. 100°063'E), which is located at
West Malaysia. The tests have been conducted from April 2009, at the
beginning of solar cycle 24, to November 2011, the smoothed sunspot
number (SSN) varying from low levels in 2009 (Rz12 = 4.18) to much
higher levels in 2011 (Rz12 = 50.37), making it suitable to observe the
variation of HF frequencies employed. Several predicted HF frequencies
(OWF), whose value was obtained by the Advanced Stand Alone Prediction
System (ASAPS) software produced by the Ionospheric Prediction Service
(IPS) Australia, were selected for the transmission tests. As a result
of this study it has been found that HF frequencies variations subsist
in the transmission test. Occurrence of daily variations in the
ionosphere are a result of the 24 hour rotation of the Earth about it
axis and different layers of the ionospheric region. 27-day sunspot
variations and the 11-year sunspot cycle have major effects on
atmospheric ionization. It is observed that as SSN values increase, the
range of operating HF frequencies that can be used also increases. SSN
values also have effect on frequencies that can be used for daily HF
communications. The occurrence of HF frequencies variations shows that
there are need to find the best HF channel for transmission of HF
signal. Moreover it is significant to choose the right frequencies for
communication because to obtain better quality signals, better quality
communication channels must be selected.
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Ionogram Conversion Algorithm from Oblique to Vertical and Impact Analysis by the Solar Storm
Jo, Jin-Ho1; You, Moon-Hee1; Lee, Yong-Min1; Jeong, Cheol-Oh1; Lee, Hwan-Sang2
1Electronics and Telecommunications Research Institute, KOREA, REPUBLIC OF
2National Radio Research Agency, REPUBLIC OF KOREA
The conversion of the oblique ionogram to vertical ionogram is
a very useful inversion technology. The vertical ionogram can provide
the important ionospheric parameters, such as critical frequency,
vertical height and electron density, for ionospheric research. The
oblique ionosonde has the ability to detect the ionoshpere over sea and
other terrain where it is not practical to deploy vertical sounder and
provide more ionograms with less transmitting and receiving devices.
There are two ionosonde stations in Korea named Jeju
and Icheon. Jeju station is locate in 420km south from the Icheon
station. The converted vertical ionogram from the oblique iongrom is a
estimated vertical ionogram of midpoint between two stations.
In this paper we discribe ionogram conversion
algorithm and results of ionogram conversion to estimate vertical
ionogram of midpoint between two stations. The converted ionogram was
compared with vertical ionogram measured at two stations for the
verfication. This paper also including impact analsys of ionogram
conversion by the solar storm.
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Empirical Modelling of the ROTI at high Latitudes for L Band Ionospheric Channel Studies.
Boscher, Daniel1; Fabbro, Vincent2; Lemorton, Joel2; Fleury, Rolland3; Carvalho, Francoise4
1ONERA, FRANCE;
2ONERA/DEMR, FRANCE;
3Telecom Bretagne, FRANCE;
4CNES/RF, FRANCE
GNSS position errors due to ionosphere are partially linked to
scintillations. This study focuses on scintillation activity observed
under high latitude regions.. Three ISM (Ionospheric Scintillation
Monitor) have been running measurements at 50Hz since end of 2012 in
Norway in the frame of a collaboration between CNES and NSC/NMA for the
ionosphere scintillations modelling. As the period of ISM data
collection is not long enough for a valuable modelling, we first
attempt to model the ROTI, the index of TEC rate of change which is
among the observables affected by ionosphere disturbances, using data
collected over many years (since around 1994) from the NMA GNSS network
stations. In this study we have integrated electron flux obtained on
the NOAA POES satellites to get a good statistics of the electron flux.
Taking advantage of the 5 current POES satellites (POES 15 to 19)
scanning at the same time several local times, and the fact that the
first spacecraft has spent more than one solar cycle in orbit, the
obtained statistics is very good, as for example more than 60,000
points with 8s resolution were obtained at extreme magnetic activity
(for magnetic index Kp>8+). Averages of the electron energy flux in
a McIlwain parameter L versus magnetic local time map were obtained and
correlated to the ROTI measurements made at two latitude distant GNSS
stations: Tromsoe and Tronheim. Therefore a model of ROTI was developed
with as input parameters the station location and the time in day, the
magnetic activity Kp, and the viewing direction (elevation and
azimuth). This model can be used, associated with a Kp prediction, to
forecast the ROTI, anywhere in the Scandinavian Norway. Intermediate
analysis made to obtain it will be presented as well. Possible
improvements will also be discussed.
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GPS Performance during Ionospheric Storms and Solar Radio-Bursts
Astafyeva, Elvira1; Yasyukevich, Yuri2; Aggarwal, Malini1; Demyanov, Vyacheslav3
1Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, FRANCE;
2Institute of Solar-Terrestrial Physics SB RAS, RUSSIAN FEDERATION;
3Irkutsk State Railway University, RUSSIAN FEDERATION
It is known that the performance of global navigation
satellite systems (GNSS) can be significantly perturbed during space
weather events. Propagation of GNSS signals depends directly on the
state of the ionosphere, since intensive irregularities and/or
gradients of electron density modify the parameters of propagating
waves. Ionospheric perturbations during geomagnetic storms are known to
be the major source of such intensive ionospheric irregularities,
indicating on large impact on GPS/GNSS performance. A part from the
ionospheric storms, intense solar radio-bursts can significantly
disrupt the operation of GNSS communication, as such solar events are
the source powerful radio noise.
In this work, we analyze global distribution of GPS cycle
slips and of GPS positioning errors during ionospheric storms and solar
radio-bursts of different intensity. For our analysis we used data of
GPS receivers from global networks IGS and UNAVCO, as well as numerous
regional networks (in New Zealand, Australia, North and South America,
Africa, Eurasia, and including Greenland and Antarctica), in order to
obtain better global coverage and to better understand the effects of
the space weather events in different longitudinal and latitudinal
regions. The total number of stations used in our study is about
2500-4000 for each event.
The performance of GPS was estimated from several parameters:
1) ratio of GPS cycle slips; 2) ratio of count omissions in GPS output
files; 3) GPS positioning errors. GPS cycle slips and count omissions
were calculated from RINEX files for all satellites and for each GPS
frequencies L1 and L2. The positioning errors were calculated as
standard deviation between the known precise coordinates of a
ground-based GPS receiver and coordinates computed by a receiver at
each moment of time.
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SSA SWE RTIM -- Real-Time Ionospheric Monitoring Service for High Latitudes
Jacobsen, Knut; Andalsvik, Yngvild
Norwegian Mapping Authority, NORWAY
This year, a new service was integrated into the SSA SWE portal.
The main products that is offered by the service are
plots and data files of VTEC, ROTI and scintillation measured in
Scandinavian region.
In addition to the real-time data, archived data is also available.
Here we give an overview of the different data
products and show some examples of data measured during various
ionospheric activity levels.
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Dst Index As An Indicator of Space Weather: A Probabilistic Approach
TULUNAY, S. Ersin1; TULUNAY, Yurdanur2
1METU, TURKEY;
2METU Dept. of. AEE, TURKEY
High Frequency (3-30 MHz) (HF) Ionospheric Channel is used for
military, civilian and amateur communications. By using Ionosphere,
communication for distances beyond the line of sight is achieved. The
main advantage of this type of communication is that it does not to
require a satellite to communicate with a point beyond the line of
sight. Actually the Ionosphere is used instead of a satellite. To use
Ionosphere but not a satellite means independent communication for a
country.
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Upgrade of the DIAS Models for Nowcast and Long-Term Prediction of the foF2 over the European Middle and High Latitudes
Zolesi, B.1; Tsagouri, I.2; Belehaki, A.2; Pietrella, M.1; Cander, L.3; Tziotziou, K.2; Themelis, K.2; Elias, P.2
1Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, ITALY;
2National Observatory of Athens, GREECE;
3Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, STFC, UNITED KINGDOM
The European Digital Upper Atmosphere Server (DIAS) provides
since 2006 at a routine basis long term prediction (up to 3 months
ahead) and nowcasting maps of the foF2 parameter over the European
middle latitudes (34° - 60°N), based on the implementation of
the Simplified Ionospheric Regional Model (SIRM) and the real time
updating of SIRM (SIRMUP) methods, respectively. Recently, the DIAS
middle latitude maps were extended to cover the whole European region
up to 80°N, as part of the integration of DIAS services into the
ESA/SSA Space Weather Service Network. To this effect, the background
SIRM and SIRMUP methods were upgraded to expand the DIAS prediction
capabilities to the high latitude ionosphere. In particular, the SIRM
output at middle latitudes is now combined with the CCIR results for
the region above 60°N. For the collaboration of the two distinct
modeling approaches, special consideration is given to the buffer zone
between the global CCIR and regional SIRM models in an attempt to avoid
large gradients due to the complex behavior of the ionospheric
conditions at high latitudes. For this purpose, an interpolation
routine is applied to formulate the ionospheric predictions between
50° and 60°N and the final map is obtained as the combination
of the three grids: the middle latitude, the high latitude and the
buffer zone grid. The real time updating of SIRM&CCIR grids is then
achieved through the SIRMUP concept that is now adjusted to incorporate
the estimation of the effective sunspot number (Reff) separately at
middle and high latitudes. The paper reports the results from the
development of the new models and their implementation in DIAS, as well
as indicative results on their performance in each latitudinal zone.
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Ionospheric Response to the Solar X-Ray Flare Associated with Radio Bursts
AGGARWAL, MALINI1; Astafyeva, Elvira2
1Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, FRANCE;
2Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, Paris Sorbonne Cité, Univ. Paris Diderot, UMR CNRS 7154, 39, FRANCE
A solar flare is a burst of light occurring in the
chromosphere near a sunspot and is observed at a wide band of
wavelengths (radio to X-rays). Together with coronal mass ejections
(CMEs), a flare is an explosive event that releases high energy protons
and electrons, including intense radiation in all wavelengths which can
affect the Earth's upper atmosphere. The solar radio bursts are intense
radio emissions from the Sun that are usually associated with solar
flares. The recent development of ground-based networks of GPS as well
as satellite systems has opened a new means to study the ionospheric
effects during the solar flares. The effects of radio bursts associated
with x-ray flare also known as extreme space weather events is of
practical importance as being a cause of interference in wireless
communications, disruption of HF and GNSS communication and other radio
systems which has not yet being explored much. In this regard, we found
34 events of radio bursts (>1000 sfu at 1GHz) using Nobeyama
observations and are found to be closely associated with x-ray flare
and CMEs during 2000-2012. We found 2 C-, 18 M- and 14 X-class flare
respectively associated with it. The preliminary results of the effects
of these events on the earth’s ionosphere using satellite observations will be presented.
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A Single-Station F-Layer Critical Frequency Model from the Dourbes Digisonde Data
Sapundjiev, Danislav; Stankov, Stanimir
Royal Meteorological Institute, BELGIUM
Single-station ionospheric parameter models offer more
accurate results for a particular ionosonde station than global models
and are easy to update. The models employ decomposition of the measured
data and its correlation with different solar and geophysical
parameters like sunspot number, geomagnetic index, etc. Their purpose
is to provide short and long term prediction of the monthly-median f0F2. In this work we have investigated deterministic and non-deterministic methods for analysis of the f0F2
from the Dourbes Digisonde, Belgium and determination of diurnal,
seasonal and solar cycle dependence of the F-layer critical frequency.
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Performance of IRI-SIRMUP-P Mapping of the Ionosphere for Disturbed Periods
Pezzopane, Michael1; Pietrella, Marco1; Pignatelli, Alessandro1; Zolesi, Bruno1; Cander, Ljiljana2
1Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, ITALY;
2STFC, Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, UNITED KINGDOM
The three-dimensional (3-D) electron density mapping of the
ionosphere given as output by the assimilative IRI-SIRMUP-P (ISP) model
for three different geomagnetic storms is described. The goodness of
the model results is tested by comparing the electron density profiles
given by the model with the ones measured at two testing ionospheric
stations: Roquetes (40.8 N,0.5 E), Spain, and San Vito (40.6 N,17.8 E),
Italy. The reference ionospheric stations from which the autoscaled
foF2 and M(3000)F2 data as well as the real-time vertical electron
density profiles are assimilated by the ISP model are those of El
Arenosillo (37.1 N,353.3 E), Spain, Rome (41.8 N,12.5 E), and
Gibilmanna (37.9 N,14.0 E), Italy. The representation of the ionosphere
made by the ISP model is on the whole better than that made by the
IRI-URSI and the IRI-CCIR models. However, a few cases show that the
assimilation of the autoscaled data from the reference stations causes
either a strong underestimation or a strong overestimation of the real
conditions of the ionosphere, which is in these cases better
represented by the IRI-URSI model. This misrepresentation made by ISP
is mainly due to the fact that the reference ionospheric stations
covering the region mapped by the model turn out to be few, especially
for disturbed periods when the ionosphere is very variable both in time
and in space and hence a larger number of stations would be required.
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Scientific questions and algorithm development in the CALIBRA project
Alfonsi, Lucilla1; Spogli, Luca1; Aquino, Marcio2; Bougard, Bruno3; Cesaroni, Claudio1; De Franceschi, Giorgiana1; Dodson, Alan2; Monico, J. F. Galera4; Yang, Lei2; Park, Jihye2; Romano, Vincenzo1
1Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, ITALY;
2University of Nottingham, UNITED KINGDOM;
3Septentrio Satellite Navigation N.V., BELGIUM;
4Sao Paulo State University, BRAZIL
GNSS is making a significant impact in support of operations
where high accuracy is required, as in precision agriculture, where the
meticulous application of pesticides and fertilizers translates into
efficiency gain and profit. Other examples are surveying, geodesy, land
management, off-shore operations. GNSS high accuracy techniques such as
RTK (Real Time Kinematic), WARTK (Wide Area RTK) and PPP (Precise Point
Positioning), exploiting the precision of GNSS signals carriers, are at
the core of these applications and are especially sensitive to
ionospheric perturbations, in particular scintillation phenomena, which
are latitude and solar cycle dependent. Brazil sits in one of the most
affected regions of the Earth and can be regarded as a test-bed for
worst case scenarios. Problems with ambiguity fixing, crucial for GNSS
carrier phase based techniques, have even before the rise of the solar
cycle impeded the levels of availability expected by industry. A risk
exists that the impact of high solar activity leads not only to
disruption but even to disbelief on GNSS to support such applications.
This issue is particularly relevant for the establishment of Galileo,
and due to the technical challenge it poses.
CALIBRA (Countering GNSS high Accuracy applications
Limitations due to Ionospheric disturbances in BRAzil), a project
funded by the European Community under the call
FP7-GALILEO-2011-GSA-1a, aims to develop algorithms to be applied to
the highly precise GNSS carrier phase observables, which will be
implemented in GNSS receivers in order to counter the adverse
ionospheric effects. The project has a two-year duration and started on
November 2012.
This paper presents initial progress on the project,
with focus on the scientific and computational challenges that must be
tackled to translate the assessment of temporal and spatial TEC
gradients typical of the perturbed Equatorial ionosphere into tools
that can support the development of algorithms capable to effectively
counter the space weather threats to GNSS high accuracy positioning.
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Mapping HF Radio Relevant Ionospheric Parameters in Near Real Time using GPS Total Electron Content Measurements.
Francis, Matthew; Steward, Graham; Terkildsen, Michael
IPS Radio & Space Services, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, AUSTRALIA
We present an approach to assimilating GPS total electron
content (TEC) measurements into an empirical model of the ionosphere in
near real time. The goal of this project is to extract maps of HF radio
relevant parameters, such as foF2 and hmF2, from this model. We present
our results in comparison to ionosonde measurements and discuss the
techniques used including an ensemble Kalman filter and the role of
ionospheric models such as NeQuick as part of the assimilation process.
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Swing Project
Zolesi, Bruno1; Belehaki, Anna2; Tsagouri, Ioanna2; Altadill, David3; Morelli, Michele4
1INGV, ITALY;
2NOA, GREECE;
3Observatori de l’Ebre, SPAIN;
4CNIT, ITALY
The project "Short Wave critical Infrastructure Network based
on a new Generation high survival radio communication system", SWING,
deals with the study and design of a system of HF radio connections to
link European Critical Infrastructures (ECIs). This system will replace
broad band internet transmission when the latter fails. The HF network
will withstand adverse conditions such as those encountered in case of
a terrorist attack, guaranteeing the communication between ECIs and the
transmission of necessary data for the survival and minimum operability
of ECIs. SWING will be designed to evaluate the threat and increase the
security awareness, as well as the level of protection, of analogous
and/or interdependent ECIs. The project has to develop the standard
software and hardware tools necessary for implementing communication
protocols suited for a reliable and interoperable Short Wave (High
Frequency) radio network back up. Therefore, SWING must also analyze
the HF network requirements necessary for alerting and controlling ECIs
in case of threat or attack, understand the particular characteristics
of the ionospheric channel in order to establish a suitable control
system for the frequencies to be employed, and design a
radio-communication architecture for a HF radio network over Southern
Europe. The use of proper ionospheric channels for data communication
requires, in fact, the support of a geomagnetic and ionospheric
awareness to provide information on the terrestrial effects generated
by the arrival of interplanetary disturbances. Particularly intense
solar events can affect the geomagnetic field and ionospheric plasma,
changing the ionospheric structure especially in the HF band. The
activities, organized in Working Packages (WPs), are distributed among
four partners (INGV-Italy, CNIT-Italy, NOA-Greece, OE-Spain).
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Short Period Ionospheric Disturbances; Observational Techniques and Methods to Estimate their Origin.
Sindelarova, Tereza1; Mosna, Zbysek1; Georgieva, Katya2; Kirov, Boian2
1Institute of Atmospheric Physics ASCR, CZECH REPUBLIC;
2Solar-Terrestrial Influences Laboratory BAS, BULGARIA
The ionosphere is influenced by a broad spectrum of waves
propagating in ionized gas as well as in the neutral atmosphere.
Periods of the waves extend from seconds to days. High frequency
continuous wave Doppler shift sounding is an effective method for the
monitoring of ionospheric oscillations in the period range from tens of
seconds to tens of minutes. One of the frequent sources of such
oscillations is geomagnetic micropulsations. The micropulsations are
magnetohydrodynamic waves of periods of seconds to minutes that
originate in the magnetosphere. Ionospheric disturbances caused by
geomagnetic micropulsations occupy similar period range like
infrasound. Infrasound is mechanical waves that propagate in the
neutral atmosphere and it is coupled with the ionospheric plasma via
collisions between neutral and ionized gas particles.
A method is presented here which may help to
distinguish ionospheric response to geomagnetic micropulsations from
ionospheric infrasound. It is based on the comparison of multipoint
ionospheric Doppler type measurements with records of local geomagnetic
fields at several stations close to the Doppler sounder. This way of
data evaluation reduces the chance that an incidental local disturbance
of geomagnetic record at a single station leads to misinterpretation of
studied Doppler records containing infrasound on one hand. On the other
hand, a chance is reduced that ionospheric response to geomagnetic
micropulsations will be misinterpreted as infrasound, which is relevant
particularly when evaluating Doppler data of lower signal quality.
To demonstrate the method, an event is analysed here
when suitable conditions for observations of ionospheric response to
geomagnetic micropulsations occurred together with a potential
tropospheric source of infrasound - intense convective storms in the
region of ionospheric Doppler sounding.
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F2 Region Response to Geomagnetic Disturbances Across Low Latitude Ionosphere
Singh, Prakash; Upadhayaya, Arun Kumar
National Physical Laboratory, New Delhi, India, INDIA
The morphology of ionospheric storm has been investigated
across equatorial and low latitude of Indian region. The deviation in
F2 region parameters at equatorial station Thiruvananthapuram
(8.5°N, 76.8°E) and low latitude station Delhi (28.6°N,
77.2° E) have been studied during five geomagnetic storm periods.
The southward polarity reversal of the z component of the
interplanetary magnetic field, Bz, is found to be highly correlated
with the storm sudden commencement (SSC). Both positive and negative
phases have been noticed during the study and it is observed that in
spite of local time variation in Dst, the corresponding deviation in F
layer parameter vary with the intensity of the storm as well as
latitude of the observing stations. The positive storm phase over
equatorial stations are found to be more frequent while the drop in
ionization in most of the cases have been noticed at low latitude
station of varying amplitude of deviations from the mean quiet day
value. Due to disturbed electric field the simultaneous height rises
have been noticed at these stations, with higher amplitude at Delhi in
between 0000 to 0600 EMT. Positive deviation in foF2 is also observed
across low latitude station during the storm which is attributed to
daytime eastward electric field penetrating promptly from high to low
latitudes. It may also be concluded that the reaction as seen at
different ionospheric stations may be quite different during the same
storm depending on the station coordinates, local time of the magnetic
disturbance beginning.
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Comparative Analysis of Ionospheric Storms Development on the Background of Low and Medium Solar Activity
Cherniak, Iurii1; Zakharenkova, Irina1; Krankowski, Andrzej2; Shagimuratov, Irk1
1West Department of IZMIRAN, RUSSIAN FEDERATION;
2Geodynamics Research Laboratory, UWM, POLAND
The extended solar minimum and new solar cycle gives an
opportunity for comparative study of the ionosphere disturbances at
background of extremely low and medium solar activity. For analysing of
the global structure and dynamics of ionospheric disturbances we used
data provided by different ground-based and satellite ionosphere
measurements. It was processed the data from European, American,
Japanese, and Australian ionosonde networks as a benchmark data source.
The ionosphere modification on a global scale have been checked with
use of Global Ionospheric Maps, provided by international GNSS Service,
and data from FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC RO mission. Additionally for estimation
of the electron density dynamic at high latitudes there were analyzed
TEC fluctuations maps, created by IGS/EPN, PBO and POLENET data.
As case study events there have been selected
geomagnetic disturbances, occurred during the years 2008-2013, with
significant ionospheric responses. The global maps of TEC were used in
order to estimate large scale storm effects, ionosonde data gives
possibilities to study the local peculiarities of the ionosphere
disturbances (two parameters have been processed - the NmF2 and hmF2).
The ionospheric slabthickness parameter was calculated for corresponded
ionosones location. Additionally for analysis of the height ionospheric
structure we combined ionosonde-derived data with the Ne profiles from
FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC RO measurements and global distribution of electron
density at selected altitudinal intervals. It was resulted that
selected moderate geomagnetic storms (Kp ~ 6) lead to the different
ionospheric response (positive and negative) over European, American,
Japan and Australian areas.
The global pattern and local temporal and quantitative
characteristics of the ionosphere disturbances during selected storms
were revealed. For example geomagnetic storm October 11, 2008 lead to
short time positive ionospheric disturbance over Europe in TEC values
with factor 2, foF2 - with factor 1,5-1,8 and uplifting of F2 layer
maximum up to 100 km. Additionally it was carried out the comparison of
the ionosondes-derived foF2 values with IRI-2012 model, that have the
storm-time option. It was obtained the qualitative agreement between
the ionosonde-derived foF2 values and model calculations for cases of
negative ionospheric storms. The best agreement between model and
observations results corresponds to the Northern Hemisphere
mid-latitude stations.
We acknowledge the Australian IPS Radio and Space
service and the National Institute of Information and Communications
Technology (NICT) in Japan for providing ionosonde data. The authors
would like to thank B.W. Reinisch and the Center of Atmospheric
Research, University of Massachusetts Lowell for the ionogram data of
DIDBase. We are also grateful to International GNSS Service (IGS) for
GPS TEC products.
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Comparative Analysis of Ionospheric Asymmetry Evaluation on Radio Occultation Inversion using NeQuick, IRI and MIDAS
Shaikh, Muhammad Mubasshir; Notarpietro, Riccardo
Department of Electronics and Telecommuncations, Politecnico di Torino, ITALY
NeQuick2, International Reference Ionosphere (IRI) and
Multi-Instrument Data Analysis System (MIDAS) are ionospheric electron
density models used in positioning, imaging and assimilation
algorithms. In this work, using the three models, we thoroughly
analyzed the "Onion-peeling" algorithm which is a very common technique
used to invert Radio Occultation (RO) data in the ionosphere. Because
of the implicit assumption of spherical symmetry for the electron
density (Ne) distribution in the ionosphere, the standard Onion-peeling
algorithm could give erroneous concentration values in the retrieved
electron density vertical profile Ne(h). In particular, this happens
when strong horizontal ionospheric electron density gradients are
present, like for example in the Equatorial Ionization Anomaly (EIA)
region during high solar activity periods.
Using simulated RO Total Electron Content (TEC) data
computed by means of ideal RO geometries, we tried to formulate and
evaluate an asymmetry level index for quasi-horizontal TEC
observations. This asymmetry index is based on the Ne variations that a
signal may experience along its propagation path (satellite to
satellite link) during a RO event. This index is strictly dependent on
RO geometry and azimuth of the occultation plane and is able to provide
us indication of the errors (in particular those concerning the peak
electron density (NmF2) and the vertical TEC (VTEC)) expected in the
retrieval of Ne(h) using standard Onion-peeling algorithm. On the basis
of the outcomes of our work, for a given geometry of a real occultation
event and using NeQuick, IRI and MIDAS, we will try to investigate the
possibility to predict the ionospheric asymmetry expected for the
particular RO geometry considered. We could also try to evaluate, in
advance, its impact on the inverted electron density profile, providing
an indication of the product quality.
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