Session 16 - Novel approaches for space weather forecasting

Juan Sebastian Cervantes Villa (GFZ); Ludger Scherliess (Utah State Univ.)
Friday 22/11, 11:15-12:30 & 14:00-15:15

Forecasting techniques that range from first principles modeling, to machine learning, to merging data with models have long been used in many areas of science and engineering. More recently they have successfully been applied for specifications and forecasts of the space environment spanning from the Sun to the Earth, largely due to the rapid increase in the number of ground- and space-based observations. In order to use these methods for space weather applications, a rigorous examination of the available data, the applied techniques, and the statistical properties of the system is necessary.

Contributions dealing with data sources, data quality issues, and forecasting techniques and models are welcome. Special emphasis will be given to contributions that describe novel approaches that can be used for space weather applications.

Friday November 22, 11:15 - 12:30, Rogier
Friday November 22, 14:00 - 15:15, Rogier

Click here to toggle abstract display in the schedule

Talks : Time schedule

Friday November 22, 11:15 - 12:30, Rogier
11:15Enhancing space weather predictions using coronal dimmings Veronig, A et al.Oral
11:30On the Drag parameter of CME propagation modelsDel moro, D et al.Oral
11:45Solar flare forecasting algorithms: R and D values for SDO/HMI and MOTH LoS magnetogramsBerrilli, F et al.Oral
12:00Early detection of solar flares using GOES/SUVI data Krista, L et al.Oral
12:15The Probabilistic Solar Particle Event foRecasting (PROSPER) ModelPapaioannou, A et al.Oral

Friday November 22, 14:00 - 15:15, Rogier
14:00The HESPERIA real-time Solar Energetic Particle prediction tools Malandraki, O et al.Oral
14:15Stochastic parameterizations in Space Weather models: Application to Earth’s Radiation BeltsWatt, C et al.Oral
14:30Forecasting GOES >2 MeV fluxes using geomagnetic indices and solar wind dataForsyth, C et al.Oral
14:45The system identification development of local time dependent electron flux models for geostationary orbitBoynton, R et al.Oral
15:00Forecasting ionospheric Total Electron Content at global level one day in advance Cesaroni, C et al.Oral


1Complex flare forecast program using data of sunspots and line-of-sight magnetic fieldsLudmány, A et al.p-Poster
2A Study about the Correlation Between Interplanetary Shock and Geomagnetic DisturbanceZhitao, L et al.p-Poster
3MUF(3000) prediction as operation space weather product Perrone, L et al.p-Poster
4Space Weather Service Network Preliminary Product Validation for the Period of Heightened Activity Observed in September 2017Burley, S et al.p-Poster
5Pulsars track space weatherTiburzi, C et al.p-Poster
6EUHFORIA in the ESA Virtual Space Weather Modelling Centre Poedts, S et al.p-Poster
7Optimising space weather forecasting capabilities of EUHFORIA: assessment of the WSA modelAsvestari, E et al.p-Poster
8A new approach for short-term and super-short-term space weather forecastVelinov, P et al.p-Poster
9SWx TREC: An Emerging Community Resource for Integrative Space Weather Data Access and Model/Algorithm R2O PromotionPankratz, C et al.p-Poster
10SWiFT-FORECAST: real time physics-based solar wind forecastsPinto, R et al.p-Poster
11SWx TREC Testbed: Facilitating Model/Algorithm R2O and O2R Development within a Cloud Computing EnvironmentLucas, G et al.p-Poster